Sunday, April 15, 2012

City Forecast Discussion: Lincoln, NE



Does this look familiar NCAA football fans?  The Division 1 Cornhusker fans sure do recognize this because this is their Memorial Stadium with the Tom Osborne Field and a "Sea of Red".  Located in the Great Plains city of Lincoln, the capital of Nebraska.  A stadium that holds over 80,000 people located in a city with a population over 258,000, over 7% of Nebraska's total population, creates a big attraction towards football fans and severe weather?  Yep!  Lincoln is in Tornado Alley and is not unfamiliar to severe weather and tornadoes.  The challenge lays in forecasting the weather for Lincoln to warn the public about events like these.  Lincoln is quite familiar with extreme heat and cold being in the Great Plains.  However, neither were a problem during the forecasting period as high temperatures only reached around 80 a few times.  The 60's was a comfort zone for the highs as more than half of the days reach a high in the 60's.  The lows had as much of a wide spread as the highs did where one day it hit 38 degrees.  Most of the time it liked to linger around 50.  The best way to describe each day by winds is "windy".  The lowest wind that was dealt with was 16 mph while the highest was 27 mph.  So the winds like to stay around 20 mph which is never good if you just got your hair done and want it to stay perfect.  The precipitation for the area is one of those things where you just want to say "forget about it" because models can forecast for rain to fall and not even a drop will fall at the Lincoln Airport.  This happened twice during the forecast period and it rained all around the airport, but not on it.

So, forecasting for a specific point in Lincoln, Nebraska is a hard challenge given the wide range in temperatures, varying winds, and precipitation that may or may not fall at your location, but maybe a mile down the road.  With that said, that leads me to the final city which is a tournament city for The Weather Challenge competition.  This city has a similar name to the largest city in Kansas, but is located in The Lone Star State next to the Red River.  Named after a five-foot waterfall on a river that was in the city, before being destroyed by a flood in 1886, and has had two devastating tornadoes, one in 1964 and the other in 1979.  Can you guess this Choctaw Indian settlement?

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